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Business Tax Rate Reductions Add to Uncertain Revenue Picture

January 16, 2018 State Tax Policy
NH state quarters

At the start of the 2018 Legislative Session, several bills were filed that would likely reduce New Hampshire’s available revenue. When considering changes to revenues, policymakers should be cognizant of the revenue shortfall risks the State presently faces. As of December, revenues are meeting the monthly plan based on estimates set forth by the Legislature to pay for State Budget expenditures. However, the revenue surplus is significantly smaller than it was at the start of the last two legislative sessions.

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Revenue in Review: An Overview of New Hampshire’s Tax System and Major Revenue Sources

May 24, 2017 State Tax Policy
NH state quarters

New Hampshire’s revenue system is relatively unique in the United States, as it lacks broad-based income and sales taxes and instead relies on a diversity of more narrowly-based taxes, fees, and other revenue sources to fund public services. This system presents both advantages and disadvantages to stable, adequate, and sustainable revenue generation.

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New Hampshire’s Revenue Problem Persists; Business Tax Rate Reductions Would Impede Full Recovery

July 27, 2015 State Tax Policy
NH state quarters

New Hampshire’s ongoing budget debate hinges, in part, on current and future revenues, yet collections continue to fall short of pre-recession levels and appear unlikely to recover fully in the immediate future. Preliminary data from the Department of Administrative Services suggest that, while General and Education Fund revenue is poised to exceed initial expectations for fiscal year 2015, it will likely remain some $250 million less in FY 2015 than it was in FY 2008, after taking inflation into account. Furthermore, proposed reductions in the rates of the business profits and business enterprise taxes would help to perpetuate this revenue problem.

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Unsettled Business Tax Revenues Push Surplus Upward, Offer Limited Insight for the Future

7 Dec 2018

tree with coins

The fortunes of State revenues continue to rise and fall with New Hampshire’s two primary business taxes, which provided positive signs for near-term revenue but have not shown these levels are sustainable. While the two business taxes remained healthy, other revenue sources were relatively flat overall, leaving the State with a revenue surplus entirely dependent on the two business taxes. The lack of growth in other revenue sources combined with the uncertainty around business taxes creates an environment in which it will be very difficult to accurately project revenues for the new State Budget biennium.